Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 7.976858 8.889230 9.915996 11.168125 12.669140 14.430719 16.685066
2025-01-05 6.393981 7.528474 8.918864 10.787983 13.300599 16.666710 21.719671
2025-01-12 5.460578 6.640892 8.163665 10.340975 13.501449 18.157319 26.076160
2025-01-19 4.862274 6.056404 7.657603 10.059451 13.769442 19.695930 30.998211
2025-01-26 4.484046 5.702101 7.391596 10.037819 14.369630 21.860398 37.969093
2025-02-02 4.391266 5.719296 7.635821 10.798225 16.365531 27.055918 54.386082
2025-02-09 4.234829 5.622080 7.689454 11.252389 17.933505 32.060140 75.133485
2025-02-16 4.007334 5.394379 7.510719 11.278940 18.699037 35.668822 96.280730
2025-02-23 3.869327 5.286698 7.505190 11.600282 20.125868 41.543617 135.990638
2025-03-02 3.607146 4.965003 7.117619 11.164549 19.837709 42.765224 157.468322
2025-03-09 3.401869 4.718107 6.832402 10.884028 19.838813 44.869331 190.316835
2025-03-16 3.247249 4.540947 6.649160 10.775480 20.217414 48.384841 246.874537
2025-03-23 3.156858 4.475134 6.675525 11.139378 21.989861 58.466490 450.410375
2025-03-30 2.958311 4.221353 6.354260 10.758454 21.796847 61.350285 621.296945
2025-04-06 2.771152 3.974047 6.023471 10.313172 21.324512 62.863688 824.647145
2025-04-13 2.624632 3.785529 5.783713 10.032757 21.251558 66.312590 1271.209003
2025-04-20 2.525507 3.670654 5.669086 10.011211 21.934030 74.391348 3023.355625
2025-04-27 2.528819 3.730385 5.884297 10.768583 25.303517 103.675899 NaN
2025-05-04 2.493235 3.719246 5.962329 11.220886 27.925310 136.240962 NaN
2025-05-11 2.415021 3.627156 5.872761 11.247326 29.050502 160.450664 NaN
2025-05-18 2.371017 3.593567 5.896869 11.567327 31.487769 210.995709 NaN
2025-05-25 2.259580 3.431242 5.646547 11.133409 30.657960 215.029122 NaN
2025-06-01 2.169524 3.304184 5.461295 10.854037 30.431225 229.790957 NaN